Bear Case: 50% langsamer, 8% Churn → 600 Kunden, 4.2M ARR, BE 2030 Base Case: Wie Finanzplan → 1.200 Kunden, 10M ARR, BE 2029 Bull Case: 50% schneller, 8% Enterprise → 2.000 Kunden, 18M ARR, BE 2028 Alte Szenario-Slider und Mock-Daten komplett entfernt. Vergleichstabelle unten für schnellen Überblick. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
191 lines
7.4 KiB
TypeScript
191 lines
7.4 KiB
TypeScript
'use client'
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import { Language } from '@/lib/types'
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import { t } from '@/lib/i18n'
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import GradientText from '../ui/GradientText'
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import FadeInView from '../ui/FadeInView'
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import GlassCard from '../ui/GlassCard'
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import { TrendingUp, TrendingDown, Minus } from 'lucide-react'
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interface AssumptionsSlideProps {
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lang: Language
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}
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export default function AssumptionsSlide({ lang }: AssumptionsSlideProps) {
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const i = t(lang)
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const de = lang === 'de'
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// 3 Cases abgeleitet aus dem Finanzplan (Base Case = aktuelle DB-Daten)
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const cases = [
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{
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name: 'Bear Case',
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icon: TrendingDown,
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color: 'text-red-400',
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bg: 'bg-red-500/10 border-red-500/20',
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desc: de ? 'Langsames Wachstum, höhere Churn' : 'Slow growth, higher churn',
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assumptions: de ? [
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'Kundenwachstum 50% langsamer als Base',
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'Churn Rate 8% pro Monat (Startups)',
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'Durchschnittspreis 20% niedriger',
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'Personalaufbau verzögert um 6 Monate',
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'Serverkosten 150€ pro Kunde',
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] : [
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'Customer growth 50% slower than base',
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'Churn rate 8% per month (startups)',
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'Average price 20% lower',
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'Hiring delayed by 6 months',
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'Server costs €150 per customer',
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],
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kpis: {
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kunden2030: '~600',
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arr2030: de ? '~4,2 Mio. EUR' : '~EUR 4.2M',
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ma2030: '25',
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breakEven: '2030',
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cash2030: de ? '~0,5 Mio. EUR' : '~EUR 0.5M',
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},
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},
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{
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name: 'Base Case',
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icon: Minus,
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color: 'text-indigo-400',
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bg: 'bg-indigo-500/10 border-indigo-500/20',
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desc: de ? 'Aktueller Finanzplan' : 'Current financial plan',
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assumptions: de ? [
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'Kundenwachstum wie geplant (14→1.200)',
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'Mix: 75% Startup, 15% KMU, 7% Mittel, 3% Enterprise',
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'Personalaufbau 5→10→17→25→35',
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'Serverkosten 100€ pro Kunde + 2.000€ Basis',
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'Break-Even Mitte 2029',
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] : [
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'Customer growth as planned (14→1,200)',
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'Mix: 75% startup, 15% SME, 7% mid, 3% enterprise',
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'Hiring 5→10→17→25→35',
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'Server costs €100 per customer + €2,000 base',
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'Break-even mid 2029',
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],
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kpis: {
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kunden2030: '~1.200',
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arr2030: de ? '~10 Mio. EUR' : '~EUR 10M',
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ma2030: '35',
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breakEven: '2029',
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cash2030: de ? '~6,4 Mio. EUR' : '~EUR 6.4M',
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},
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},
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{
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name: 'Bull Case',
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icon: TrendingUp,
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color: 'text-emerald-400',
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bg: 'bg-emerald-500/10 border-emerald-500/20',
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desc: de ? 'Beschleunigtes Wachstum' : 'Accelerated growth',
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assumptions: de ? [
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'Kundenwachstum 50% schneller (Regulierungsdruck)',
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'Enterprise-Anteil steigt auf 8%',
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'Durchschnittspreis 15% höher (Upselling)',
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'Channel-Partner ab Q1/2027',
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'EU-Expansion ab 2028',
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] : [
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'Customer growth 50% faster (regulation pressure)',
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'Enterprise share rises to 8%',
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'Average price 15% higher (upselling)',
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'Channel partners from Q1/2027',
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'EU expansion from 2028',
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],
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kpis: {
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kunden2030: '~2.000',
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arr2030: de ? '~18 Mio. EUR' : '~EUR 18M',
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ma2030: '50',
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breakEven: '2028',
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cash2030: de ? '~15 Mio. EUR' : '~EUR 15M',
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},
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},
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]
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return (
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<div className="max-w-6xl mx-auto">
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<FadeInView className="text-center mb-6">
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<h2 className="text-3xl md:text-4xl font-bold mb-2">
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<GradientText>{i.annex.assumptions.title}</GradientText>
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</h2>
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<p className="text-sm text-white/50 max-w-2xl mx-auto">{i.annex.assumptions.subtitle}</p>
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</FadeInView>
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{/* 3 Cases nebeneinander */}
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<div className="grid md:grid-cols-3 gap-4 mb-6">
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{cases.map((c, idx) => {
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const Icon = c.icon
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return (
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<GlassCard key={idx} delay={0.1 + idx * 0.1} hover={false} className={`p-4 border-t-2 ${c.bg}`}>
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<div className="flex items-center gap-2 mb-2">
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<Icon className={`w-5 h-5 ${c.color}`} />
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<h3 className={`text-sm font-bold ${c.color}`}>{c.name}</h3>
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</div>
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<p className="text-[10px] text-white/40 mb-3">{c.desc}</p>
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{/* Annahmen */}
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<div className="space-y-1.5 mb-4">
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{c.assumptions.map((a, i) => (
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<p key={i} className="text-xs text-white/60 pl-3 relative">
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<span className={`absolute left-0 top-1 w-1.5 h-1.5 rounded-full ${c.color.replace('text-', 'bg-')}/60`} />
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{a}
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</p>
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))}
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</div>
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{/* KPIs */}
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<div className="border-t border-white/10 pt-3 space-y-1.5">
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{[
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{ label: de ? 'Kunden 2030' : 'Customers 2030', value: c.kpis.kunden2030 },
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{ label: 'ARR 2030', value: c.kpis.arr2030 },
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{ label: de ? 'Mitarbeiter 2030' : 'Employees 2030', value: c.kpis.ma2030 },
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{ label: 'Break-Even', value: c.kpis.breakEven },
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{ label: 'Cash 2030', value: c.kpis.cash2030 },
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].map((kpi, i) => (
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<div key={i} className="flex justify-between text-xs">
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<span className="text-white/40">{kpi.label}</span>
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<span className={`font-mono font-bold ${c.color}`}>{kpi.value}</span>
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</div>
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))}
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</div>
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</GlassCard>
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)
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})}
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</div>
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{/* Vergleichstabelle */}
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<FadeInView delay={0.5}>
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<GlassCard hover={false} className="p-4">
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<h3 className="text-xs font-bold text-white/40 uppercase tracking-wider mb-3">
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{de ? 'Szenario-Vergleich 2030' : 'Scenario Comparison 2030'}
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</h3>
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<table className="w-full text-xs">
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<thead>
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<tr className="border-b border-white/10">
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<th className="text-left py-2 text-white/40"></th>
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<th className="text-right py-2 text-red-400">Bear</th>
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<th className="text-right py-2 text-indigo-400 font-bold">Base</th>
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<th className="text-right py-2 text-emerald-400">Bull</th>
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</tr>
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</thead>
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<tbody>
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{[
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{ label: de ? 'Kunden' : 'Customers', bear: '~600', base: '~1.200', bull: '~2.000' },
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{ label: 'ARR', bear: de ? '~4,2 Mio.' : '~4.2M', base: de ? '~10 Mio.' : '~10M', bull: de ? '~18 Mio.' : '~18M' },
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{ label: de ? 'Mitarbeiter' : 'Employees', bear: '25', base: '35', bull: '50' },
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{ label: 'Break-Even', bear: '2030', base: '2029', bull: '2028' },
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{ label: 'Cash', bear: de ? '~0,5 Mio.' : '~0.5M', base: de ? '~6,4 Mio.' : '~6.4M', bull: de ? '~15 Mio.' : '~15M' },
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].map((row, idx) => (
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<tr key={idx} className="border-b border-white/[0.03]">
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<td className="py-1.5 text-white/60">{row.label}</td>
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<td className="py-1.5 text-right text-red-400/70 font-mono">{row.bear}</td>
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<td className="py-1.5 text-right text-indigo-300 font-mono font-bold">{row.base}</td>
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<td className="py-1.5 text-right text-emerald-400/70 font-mono">{row.bull}</td>
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</tr>
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))}
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</tbody>
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</table>
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</GlassCard>
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</FadeInView>
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</div>
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)
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}
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