'use client' import { Language } from '@/lib/types' import { t } from '@/lib/i18n' import GradientText from '../ui/GradientText' import FadeInView from '../ui/FadeInView' import GlassCard from '../ui/GlassCard' import { TrendingUp, TrendingDown, Minus } from 'lucide-react' import { useFinancialModel } from '@/lib/hooks/useFinancialModel' interface AssumptionsSlideProps { lang: Language investorId?: string | null } function fmtArr(v: number, de: boolean): string { if (v >= 1_000_000) { const m = (v / 1_000_000).toFixed(1) return de ? `~${m.replace('.', ',')} Mio. EUR` : `~EUR ${m}M` } return de ? `~${Math.round(v / 1000)}k EUR` : `~EUR ${Math.round(v / 1000)}k` } function fmtCash(v: number, de: boolean): string { if (Math.abs(v) >= 1_000_000) { const m = (v / 1_000_000).toFixed(1) return de ? `~${m.replace('.', ',')} Mio. EUR` : `~EUR ${m}M` } return de ? `~${Math.round(v / 1000)}k EUR` : `~EUR ${Math.round(v / 1000)}k` } function breakEvenYear(month: number | null): string { if (!month || month <= 0) return '—' const year = 2026 + Math.floor((month - 1) / 12) return String(year) } export default function AssumptionsSlide({ lang, investorId }: AssumptionsSlideProps) { const i = t(lang) const de = lang === 'de' // Load computed financial data for Base Case const fm = useFinancialModel(investorId || null) const summary = fm.activeResults?.summary const results = fm.activeResults?.results || [] const lastResult = results.length > 0 ? results[results.length - 1] : null // Base case from compute engine const baseCustomers = summary?.final_customers || 0 const baseArr = summary?.final_arr || 0 const baseEmployees = lastResult?.employees_count || 0 const baseCash = lastResult?.cash_balance_eur || 0 const baseBreakEven = breakEvenYear(summary?.break_even_month || null) // Bear/Bull derived from Base (scaling factors) const bearCustomers = Math.round(baseCustomers * 0.5) const bearArr = baseArr * 0.42 const bearEmployees = Math.round(baseEmployees * 0.7) const bearCash = baseCash * 0.08 const bearBreakEvenMonth = summary?.break_even_month ? Math.round(summary.break_even_month * 1.3) : null const bearBreakEven = breakEvenYear(bearBreakEvenMonth) const bullCustomers = Math.round(baseCustomers * 1.7) const bullArr = baseArr * 1.8 const bullEmployees = Math.round(baseEmployees * 1.4) const bullCash = baseCash * 2.3 const bullBreakEvenMonth = summary?.break_even_month ? Math.round(summary.break_even_month * 0.75) : null const bullBreakEven = breakEvenYear(bullBreakEvenMonth) // 3 Cases abgeleitet aus dem Finanzplan (Base Case = aktuelle DB-Daten) const cases = [ { name: 'Bear Case', icon: TrendingDown, color: 'text-red-400', bg: 'bg-red-500/10 border-red-500/20', desc: de ? 'Langsames Wachstum, höhere Churn' : 'Slow growth, higher churn', assumptions: de ? [ 'Kundenwachstum 50% langsamer als Base', 'Churn Rate 8% pro Monat (Startups)', 'Durchschnittspreis 20% niedriger', 'Personalaufbau verzögert um 6 Monate', 'Serverkosten 150€ pro Kunde', ] : [ 'Customer growth 50% slower than base', 'Churn rate 8% per month (startups)', 'Average price 20% lower', 'Hiring delayed by 6 months', 'Server costs €150 per customer', ], kpis: { kunden2030: `~${bearCustomers.toLocaleString('de-DE')}`, arr2030: fmtArr(bearArr, de), ma2030: String(bearEmployees), breakEven: bearBreakEven, cash2030: fmtCash(bearCash, de), }, }, { name: 'Base Case', icon: Minus, color: 'text-indigo-400', bg: 'bg-indigo-500/10 border-indigo-500/20', desc: de ? 'Aktueller Finanzplan' : 'Current financial plan', assumptions: de ? [ 'Kundenwachstum wie geplant (14→1.200)', 'Mix: 75% Startup, 15% KMU, 7% Mittel, 3% Enterprise', 'Personalaufbau 5→10→17→25→35', 'Serverkosten 100€ pro Kunde + 2.000€ Basis', 'Break-Even Mitte 2029', ] : [ 'Customer growth as planned (14→1,200)', 'Mix: 75% startup, 15% SME, 7% mid, 3% enterprise', 'Hiring 5→10→17→25→35', 'Server costs €100 per customer + €2,000 base', 'Break-even mid 2029', ], kpis: { kunden2030: `~${baseCustomers.toLocaleString('de-DE')}`, arr2030: fmtArr(baseArr, de), ma2030: String(baseEmployees), breakEven: baseBreakEven, cash2030: fmtCash(baseCash, de), }, }, { name: 'Bull Case', icon: TrendingUp, color: 'text-emerald-400', bg: 'bg-emerald-500/10 border-emerald-500/20', desc: de ? 'Beschleunigtes Wachstum' : 'Accelerated growth', assumptions: de ? [ 'Kundenwachstum 50% schneller (Regulierungsdruck)', 'Enterprise-Anteil steigt auf 8%', 'Durchschnittspreis 15% höher (Upselling)', 'Channel-Partner ab Q1/2027', 'EU-Expansion ab 2028', ] : [ 'Customer growth 50% faster (regulation pressure)', 'Enterprise share rises to 8%', 'Average price 15% higher (upselling)', 'Channel partners from Q1/2027', 'EU expansion from 2028', ], kpis: { kunden2030: `~${bullCustomers.toLocaleString('de-DE')}`, arr2030: fmtArr(bullArr, de), ma2030: String(bullEmployees), breakEven: bullBreakEven, cash2030: fmtCash(bullCash, de), }, }, ] return (

{i.annex.assumptions.title}

{i.annex.assumptions.subtitle}

{/* 3 Cases nebeneinander */}
{cases.map((c, idx) => { const Icon = c.icon return (

{c.name}

{c.desc}

{/* Annahmen */}
{c.assumptions.map((a, i) => (

{a}

))}
{/* KPIs */}
{[ { label: de ? 'Kunden 2030' : 'Customers 2030', value: c.kpis.kunden2030 }, { label: 'ARR 2030', value: c.kpis.arr2030 }, { label: de ? 'Mitarbeiter 2030' : 'Employees 2030', value: c.kpis.ma2030 }, { label: 'Break-Even', value: c.kpis.breakEven }, { label: 'Cash 2030', value: c.kpis.cash2030 }, ].map((kpi, i) => (
{kpi.label} {kpi.value}
))}
) })}
{/* Vergleichstabelle */}

{de ? 'Szenario-Vergleich 2030' : 'Scenario Comparison 2030'}

{[ { label: de ? 'Kunden' : 'Customers', bear: `~${bearCustomers.toLocaleString('de-DE')}`, base: `~${baseCustomers.toLocaleString('de-DE')}`, bull: `~${bullCustomers.toLocaleString('de-DE')}` }, { label: 'ARR', bear: fmtArr(bearArr, de), base: fmtArr(baseArr, de), bull: fmtArr(bullArr, de) }, { label: de ? 'Mitarbeiter' : 'Employees', bear: String(bearEmployees), base: String(baseEmployees), bull: String(bullEmployees) }, { label: 'Break-Even', bear: bearBreakEven, base: baseBreakEven, bull: bullBreakEven }, { label: 'Cash', bear: fmtCash(bearCash, de), base: fmtCash(baseCash, de), bull: fmtCash(bullCash, de) }, ].map((row, idx) => ( ))}
Bear Base Bull
{row.label} {row.bear} {row.base} {row.bull}
) }