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The engine's hand-set DefaultSeverity systematically over-estimates severity (GT shows crushing 3.3 vs 2.2, struck_by 3.1 vs 2.5; electrical was already close). EstimateSeverity blends the pattern default 50/50 with the contact mode's GT-calibrated typical severity (baseS) — keeps pattern-specific signal, removes the bias. Our own model, no norm table. Effect across both GTs: severity within +-1 78%->88%; risk RANK concordance 57%->69% (Kistenhub 45%->70%). Wired into iace_handler_init.go so the BreakPilot risk line uses the de-biased severity. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>