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breakpilot-compliance/backend-compliance/compliance/onboarding/hypotheses.py
T
Benjamin Admin 2d2cb2a244 feat: Certification Capability Hypotheses — capability-centric library + empirical confidence
The bottleneck is knowledge, not the endpoint. This builds the knowledge the Onboarding Advisor needs,
restructured per the user's key insight: NOT "ISO27001 -> 30 capabilities" but each hypothesis as its
own object "capability -> supported_by: [certs]". A capability is written ONCE with all supporting
certs, so the shared management-system core (document control, incident, supplier, audit, access,
asset, monitoring, training, crypto, release, risk) covers most certifications with ~18 hypotheses
instead of ~300 — and multi-certification merges AUTOMATICALLY (a company's inferred caps = every
hypothesis whose supported_by intersects its certs).

Welt-1 throughout: "IF cert present, EXPECT capability (verification required)", never "erfüllt".
Capabilities NO cert suggests (SBOM, signed updates, CVD, support period) have no hypothesis -> they
stay in the delta and get asked. confidence is EMPIRICAL: computed from real-onboarding observations
(confirmed/(confirmed+refuted)), None until calibrated — never an LLM/expert score (record_observation
+ empirical_confidence). The long-term moat: knowledge that learns from reality, not from a norm.

compliance/onboarding/hypotheses.py (resolve_for_certifications / inferred_hypotheses / empirical_
confidence / record_observation) feeds the existing advisor_start unchanged; the demo now runs on the
curated library. Pure, mypy --strict clean, library is DATA (no norm text, no real names). Non-runtime
-> no deploy. 12 tests pass, check-loc 0.
2026-06-28 13:16:45 +02:00

72 lines
3.1 KiB
Python

"""Certification Capability Hypotheses — capability-centric, with EMPIRICAL (computed) confidence.
Each hypothesis is its own knowledge object: "IF a company holds one of `supported_by` certs, we EXPECT
`capability` (verification required)" — Welt-1, never "erfüllt". Written ONCE per capability with a list
of supporting certs (reuse, not redundancy), so multi-certification merges AUTOMATICALLY.
`confidence` is NOT an expert/LLM score: it is COMPUTED from real-onboarding observations
(confirmed / (confirmed+refuted)), `None` until any are seen. This is the empirical learning loop — the
long-term moat. The library is DATA, loaded outside this module and injected. Python 3.9 compatible.
"""
from __future__ import annotations
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Sequence
from pydantic import BaseModel, Field
class HypothesisObservations(BaseModel):
confirmed: int = 0
refuted: int = 0
class CapabilityHypothesis(BaseModel):
id: str
capability: str
supported_by: List[str] = Field(default_factory=list) # certifications that suggest this capability
relationship: str = "supports" # supports / partially_supports
verification_required: bool = True # Welt-1: never auto-satisfied
question_intent: str = "verify_existence"
expected_evidence: List[str] = Field(default_factory=list)
observations: HypothesisObservations = Field(default_factory=HypothesisObservations)
kind: str = "shared" # shared / specific
def empirical_confidence(obs: HypothesisObservations) -> Optional[float]:
"""Confidence from observations only: confirmed / (confirmed+refuted). None until any are recorded."""
n = obs.confirmed + obs.refuted
return round(obs.confirmed / n, 2) if n else None
def record_observation(obs: HypothesisObservations, confirmed: bool) -> HypothesisObservations:
"""One real-onboarding observation -> updated counts (the empirical calibration step)."""
return HypothesisObservations(
confirmed=obs.confirmed + (1 if confirmed else 0),
refuted=obs.refuted + (0 if confirmed else 1),
)
def inferred_hypotheses(
certifications: Sequence[str], library: Sequence[CapabilityHypothesis]
) -> List[CapabilityHypothesis]:
"""Every hypothesis whose `supported_by` intersects the company's certs — the auto multi-cert merge."""
certs = set(certifications)
return [h for h in library if certs & set(h.supported_by)]
def resolve_for_certifications(
certifications: Sequence[str], library: Sequence[CapabilityHypothesis]
) -> Dict[str, List[str]]:
"""Adapt the capability-centric library to the Advisor's `cert -> [capability]` input.
For each held certification, the capabilities its hypotheses suggest (deduped, deterministic order).
"""
certs = set(certifications)
out: Dict[str, List[str]] = {}
for h in library:
for cert in h.supported_by:
if cert in certs and h.capability not in out.setdefault(cert, []):
out[cert].append(h.capability)
return {c: out[c] for c in sorted(out)}