feat(iace): cite ESAW source + license on risk-frequency anchors

Surfaces the public-statistics provenance for the contact-mode probability
tiers so generated risk numbers are auditable and attributed (not RAG —
~a dozen stable aggregate facts are better as a license-tagged code table).

- risk_data_sources.go: RiskEvidence register (Eurostat ESAW figures + CC BY
  4.0 attribution) for the documented contact modes; RiskDataSourcesNote.
- risk_suggestion.go: the W justification now cites the actual ESAW share +
  license where documented; RiskSuggestion gains a data_source field.
- GET /iace/risk-data-sources returns the evidence register + attribution.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.8 <noreply@anthropic.com>

ai-compliance-sdk/internal/iace/risk_data_sources.go

@@ -0,0 +1,69 @@
+package iace
+
+import "sort"
+
+// Evidence / citation layer for the risk-frequency anchors. Each entry is an
+// aggregate, permissively-licensed public statistic (Eurostat ESAW, CC BY 4.0)
+// that anchors the RELATIVE ordering of a contact mode's probability tier. The
+// tier VALUES in contactModeTable are BreakPilot's own GT-calibrated numbers —
+// this table only carries the provenance so generated risk numbers are
+// auditable and correctly attributed. No raw dataset is vendored; only these
+// aggregate facts. Excluded by license: DGUV, DIN/Beuth/ISO/IEC. See
+// DATA_SOURCES.md. RAG/Qdrant ingestion is deliberately NOT used here: ~a dozen
+// stable aggregate facts are better served by a license-tagged code table than
+// by vector retrieval.
+
+// RiskEvidence is the public-statistics provenance for one contact mode.
+type RiskEvidence struct {
+	Mode        string `json:"mode"`
+	Label       string `json:"label"`       // German contact-mode label
+	Stat        string `json:"stat"`        // the cited aggregate figure
+	Source      string `json:"source"`      // "Eurostat (ESAW)"
+	License     string `json:"license"`     // "CC BY 4.0"
+	Attribution string `json:"attribution"` // ready-to-print citation line
+	Retrieved   string `json:"retrieved"`   // retrieval month
+}
+
+const (
+	esawSource      = "Eurostat (ESAW)"
+	esawLicense     = "CC BY 4.0"
+	esawAttribution = "Quelle: Eurostat (ESAW), CC BY 4.0"
+	esawRetrieved   = "2026-06"
+)
+
+func esawEvidence(mode, label, stat string) RiskEvidence {
+	return RiskEvidence{Mode: mode, Label: label, Stat: stat, Source: esawSource,
+		License: esawLicense, Attribution: esawAttribution, Retrieved: esawRetrieved}
+}
+
+// contactModeEvidence holds only the contact modes for which a specific public
+// figure is documented; other modes are anchored by the ESAW ordering and
+// GT-calibrated without a single citable share, so they carry no fabricated stat.
+var contactModeEvidence = map[string]RiskEvidence{
+	"impact_stationary": esawEvidence("impact_stationary", "Anstoßen an ruhendem Objekt", "~24 % der Arbeitsunfälle"),
+	"struck_by":         esawEvidence("struck_by", "Getroffen von bewegtem Objekt", "~13 % (nicht-tödlich) / ~24 % (tödlich)"),
+	"crushing":          esawEvidence("crushing", "Quetschen / Einklemmen", "~14 % der tödlichen Arbeitsunfälle"),
+	"cutting":           esawEvidence("cutting", "Kontakt mit scharfem Gegenstand", "~15 % der Arbeitsunfälle"),
+}
+
+// RiskEvidenceFor returns the documented public statistic for a contact mode.
+func RiskEvidenceFor(mode string) (RiskEvidence, bool) {
+	e, ok := contactModeEvidence[mode]
+	return e, ok
+}
+
+// AllRiskEvidence returns the full evidence register (sorted), for a
+// "Datenquellen" panel / risk-assessment export attribution.
+func AllRiskEvidence() []RiskEvidence {
+	out := make([]RiskEvidence, 0, len(contactModeEvidence))
+	for _, e := range contactModeEvidence {
+		out = append(out, e)
+	}
+	sort.Slice(out, func(i, j int) bool { return out[i].Mode < out[j].Mode })
+	return out
+}
+
+// RiskDataSourcesNote is the overall attribution shown wherever engine risk
+// numbers appear, satisfying the ESAW CC BY 4.0 source-acknowledgement.
+const RiskDataSourcesNote = "Häufigkeits-/Wahrscheinlichkeits-Tiers verankert am öffentlichen Kontaktmodus-Ranking von " +
+	esawSource + " (" + esawLicense + "), kalibriert an BreakPilot-Ground-Truth. Keine Norm-Tabelle reproduziert; DGUV/DIN/ISO ausgeschlossen."

ai-compliance-sdk/internal/iace/risk_suggestion.go

@@ -46,6 +46,7 @@ type RiskSuggestion struct {
 	ContactMode string               `json:"contact_mode"`
 	EN62061     EN62061Suggestion    `json:"en62061"`
 	FineKinney  FineKinneySuggestion `json:"fine_kinney"`
+	DataSource  *RiskEvidence        `json:"data_source,omitempty"`
 	Note        string               `json:"note"`
 }
 
@@ -65,6 +66,14 @@ func BuildRiskSuggestion(hz *Hazard) RiskSuggestion {
 		modeLabel = "unbestimmt"
 	}
 
+	// Cite the actual public statistic + license for the W anchor where documented.
+	wJustification := fmt.Sprintf("Wahrscheinlichkeit W aus ESAW-Haeufigkeit der Kontaktart '%s'", modeLabel)
+	var dataSource *RiskEvidence
+	if ev, ok := RiskEvidenceFor(mode); ok {
+		wJustification += fmt.Sprintf(" (%s: %s; %s)", ev.Label, ev.Stat, ev.Attribution)
+		dataSource = &ev
+	}
+
 	// EN-62061-style (F/W/P/S)
 	s := EstimateSeverity(cats, scenario, 0)
 	f := EstimateFrequency(lifecycle)
@@ -81,7 +90,7 @@ func BuildRiskSuggestion(hz *Hazard) RiskSuggestion {
 		EN62061: EN62061Suggestion{
 			Severity:    SuggestedValue{float64(s), fmt.Sprintf("Schwere S%d aus Verletzungsbild der Kontaktart '%s' (NIOSH/OSHA/MIL-STD-882)", s, modeLabel)},
 			Frequency:   SuggestedValue{float64(f), "Haeufigkeit F aus Lebensphasen-Exposition des Projekts"},
-			Probability: SuggestedValue{float64(w), fmt.Sprintf("Wahrscheinlichkeit W aus ESAW-Haeufigkeit der Kontaktart '%s'", modeLabel)},
+			Probability: SuggestedValue{float64(w), wJustification},
 			Avoidance:   SuggestedValue{float64(p), fmt.Sprintf("Vermeidbarkeit P aus Kinematik der Kontaktart '%s'", modeLabel)},
 			Score:       idx,
 			Level:       level,
@@ -96,7 +105,8 @@ func BuildRiskSuggestion(hz *Hazard) RiskSuggestion {
 			Action:      fk.Action,
 			Formula:     "R = P × E × C",
 		},
-		Note: "Begruendete Vorschlagswerte (BreakPilot, oeffentliche Datenquellen). Vom Sachverstaendigen anpassbar.",
+		DataSource: dataSource,
+		Note:       "Begruendete Vorschlagswerte (BreakPilot, oeffentliche Datenquellen). Vom Sachverstaendigen anpassbar.",
 	}
 }