feat(iace): FMEA P1 — open methodology anchors + bp_iace_fmea_kb
P1 of the auto-FMEA build plan: establish the public-domain methodology foundation (no AIAG-VDA/SAE/IEC tables reproduced). - fmea_data_sources.go: MIL-STD-882E severity (Cat I-IV→1-10) + probability (A-F→1-10 with per-hour λ bands), OccurrenceFromRate(λp·α), SeverityForCategory, MIL-STD-1629A CriticalityCm = λp·α·β·t. Own 1-10 projection, government-anchored. - 4 versioned source docs (MIL-STD-1629A, MIL-STD-882E, NASA RCM, FMD-91/NPRD-91) ingested into the new RAG collection bp_iace_fmea_kb (whitelisted). - Tests for all scales/mappings/criticality (green). Next (P1 step 2): fetch FMD-91/NPRD-91 bulk λ/α tables from DTIC. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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# Failure-mode taxonomy & reliability data — FMD-91 / NPRD-91 (public domain)
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Open component→failure-mode taxonomy and failure-rate (λ) / mode-ratio (α)
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anchor for the IACE auto-FMEA. Ingested into `bp_iace_fmea_kb`. The bulk numeric
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tables are fetched from the DTIC PDFs in a follow-up P1 step; this doc fixes the
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sources + the per-component mode lists used to seed the gated library (P2).
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## Sources
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- **FMD-91** (RAC/DTIC) — *Failure Mode / Mechanism Distributions* — modes +
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mechanisms with **% distribution (α)** per part class. **Public domain**
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("Approved for Public Release; Distribution Unlimited"). DTIC ADA259655.
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- **NPRD-91 / NPRD-95** (RAC/DTIC) — *Nonelectronic Parts Reliability Data* —
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field **failure rates λ** for mechanical / electromechanical parts. **Public
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domain.** DTIC ADA242083.
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- **MIL-HDBK-217F** (US DoD) — electronic-part failure-rate models λ. Public
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domain (obsolete 1995 but legally free).
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- **Attribution:** `Source: FMD-91 / NPRD-91 (RAC, DTIC), public domain`
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- **AVOID:** Quanterion NPRD-2023 / FMD-2016 / EPRD-2024 (proprietary reissues),
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OREDA (commercial), FIDES tables (© DGA — read-only), ISO 14224 (copyrighted).
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## Failure modes by component class (open — FMD-91 + CC-BY-SA Wikipedia)
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| Component class | Typical failure modes |
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|---|---|
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| Bearings | fatigue spalling/pitting, wear, brinelling, seizure, contamination |
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| Gears | pitting, scuffing/scoring, tooth-fatigue fracture, wear |
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| Shafts / fasteners / springs | fatigue fracture, fretting, loosening, set/relaxation |
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| Seals / hoses / cylinders | leakage (external/internal), extrusion, hardening, rupture |
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| Valves / pumps | stuck-open, stuck-closed, leakage, fail-to-open/close, degraded flow |
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| Motors / contactors | winding short, open circuit, insulation breakdown, contact weld/stick |
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| Sensors / cabling | drift/bias, loss of signal, intermittent, open/short |
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FMD-91 additionally gives the **% weighting (α)** of each mode per class — that
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is the mode-ratio in `Cm = λp·α·β·t` and lets the engine RANK modes rather than
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enumerate them flatly.
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## How used in IACE
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- Taxonomy → seeds/expands the gated failure-mode library (P2).
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- λ (NPRD/217) × α (FMD-91) → mode rate → `OccurrenceFromRate` → 1–10 occurrence.
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- Each `source`/`license` tagged; allowlist rejects copyrighted/proprietary data.
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# FMECA methodology — MIL-STD-1629A (US public domain)
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Canonical, citable methodology source for the IACE auto-FMEA. Ingested into the
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core RAG collection `bp_iace_fmea_kb`.
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## Source
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- **Source:** US DoD — MIL-STD-1629A, *Procedures for Performing a Failure Mode, Effects and Criticality Analysis* (cancelled 1998, still the de-facto FMECA reference)
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- **License:** US Government work — **public domain** (17 U.S.C. §105)
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- **Attribution:** `Source: MIL-STD-1629A (US DoD), public domain`
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- **Retrieved:** 2026-06 · **Ref:** everyspec / Wikipedia FMECA
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## Procedure (qualitative + quantitative)
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1. Define the system, indenture levels and ground rules.
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2. For each item/function: list **failure modes** → **causes** → **local / next-higher / end effects**.
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3. Assign a **severity category** (I–IV, below).
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4. **Quantitative path (when failure-rate data exists):** compute the **modal
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criticality** `Cm = λp · α · β · t` — λp part failure rate, α failure-mode
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ratio (fraction of part failures in this mode), β conditional probability the
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mode causes the analysed effect, t operating time. Item criticality `Cr = Σ Cm`.
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5. **Qualitative path (Task 101, no λ data):** assign probability-of-occurrence
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levels A–E (Frequent → Extremely unlikely) instead of Cm.
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6. Plot items on a **severity × criticality matrix** — the open analogue of an
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action-priority ranking (no copyrighted S×O×D RPN table needed).
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## Severity categories (MIL-STD-1629A / MIL-STD-882 lineage)
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| Cat | Name | Meaning |
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|---|---|---|
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| I | Catastrophic | May cause death or system loss |
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| II | Critical | Severe injury / major damage |
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| III | Marginal | Minor injury / minor damage |
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| IV | Minor (Negligible) | No injury; unscheduled maintenance/repair |
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## How used in IACE
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- The **Cm formula** and the **severity × criticality matrix** are the public-domain
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criticality backbone (`CriticalityCm` in fmea_data_sources.go).
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- λp/α come from NPRD-91 / FMD-91 (public domain); β and t from the project context.
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- Severity resolves through the linked EN ISO 12100 hazard (safety-FMEA bridge).
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No AIAG-VDA / SAE J1739 / IEC 60812 content is reproduced.
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# Severity & probability scales — MIL-STD-882E (US public domain)
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Open S/O anchor for the IACE auto-FMEA. The 1–10 projection used in code is
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BreakPilot's own; these public-domain categories provide the defensible anchor
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(no copyrighted AIAG-VDA/SAE 1–10 table is used). Ingested into `bp_iace_fmea_kb`.
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## Source
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- **Source:** US DoD — MIL-STD-882E, *System Safety* (Distribution Statement A, approved for public release)
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- **License:** US Government work — **public domain**
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- **Attribution:** `Source: MIL-STD-882E (US DoD), public domain`
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- **Retrieved:** 2026-06 · **Ref:** DLA QuickSearch (ident 36027)
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## Table I — Severity (→ our 1–10 S)
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| Cat | Severity | Threshold | our S |
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|---|---|---|---|
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| I | Catastrophic | Death, permanent total disability, irreversible severe environmental damage | 10 |
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| II | Critical | Permanent partial disability; hospitalisation of multiple persons | 7 |
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| III | Marginal | Injury/illness with lost work day(s) | 4 |
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| IV | Negligible | Minor injury, no lost work day | 2 |
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## Table II — Probability (individual item) (→ our 1–10 O)
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| Lvl | Name | Qualitative | rate band (/h, our calibration) | our O |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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| A | Frequent | likely to occur often | ≥ 1e-1 | 10 |
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| B | Probable | will occur several times | 1e-2 … 1e-1 | 8 |
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| C | Occasional | likely to occur sometime | 1e-3 … 1e-2 | 6 |
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| D | Remote | unlikely but possible | 1e-6 … 1e-3 | 4 |
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| E | Improbable | so unlikely ~ may not occur | < 1e-6 | 2 |
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| F | Eliminated | incapable of occurrence | 0 | 1 |
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## Detection (no government scale)
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Detection is an AIAG/SAE concept with no public-domain table. IACE defines its
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OWN 1–10 detection scale grounded on the generic **diagnostic-coverage** concept
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(1 = built-in diagnostic always catches it … 10 = latent, no detection). The
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IEC-61508/13849 DC tables are copyrighted and are NOT reproduced — only the
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concept (in our own words) is used.
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## How used in IACE
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`MILStd882Severity` / `MILStd882Probability` / `OccurrenceFromRate` /
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`SeverityForCategory` in fmea_data_sources.go implement these bands. Severity is
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preferably resolved through the linked ISO 12100 hazard; occurrence from λp·α.
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# Failure-consequence & maintenance decision logic — NASA RCM (public domain)
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Drives the IACE auto-FMEA "recommended action" layer and the safety-priority
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rule. Ingested into `bp_iace_fmea_kb`.
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## Source
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- **Source:** NASA — NPR 8831.2F Ch.7 (Reliability-Centered Maintenance) and NASA GSFC-HDBK-8004 (FMEA & Risk Assessment)
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- **License:** US Government work — **public domain** ("cleared for public accessibility")
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- **Attribution:** `Source: NASA NPR 8831.2F / GSFC-HDBK-8004, public domain`
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- **Retrieved:** 2026-06 · **Ref:** nodis3.gsfc.nasa.gov / standards.nasa.gov
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## Safety-consequence priority (key rule)
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A failure with a **safety** consequence is prioritised **regardless of how rare
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it is** — "safety shall be ensured at any cost; thereafter cost-effectiveness
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becomes the criterion." So in a SAFETY FMEA a single Catastrophic mode matters
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even at low occurrence — severity dominates the ranking.
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## Failure definition (broad)
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"Any unsatisfactory condition" — loss of FUNCTION **or** loss of QUALITY/
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acceptable performance — not only complete breakdown. (Captures drift,
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degradation, intermittent.)
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## Recommended-action decision logic (RCM)
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| Failure character | Recommended task |
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|---|---|
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| Gives advance warning / measurable degradation | **Condition-based / predictive** monitoring |
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| Age/wear-related, predictable | **Preventive / scheduled** replacement |
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| Random, low consequence | **Run-to-failure** (corrective) |
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| Hidden / no effective task | **Redesign** or add **redundancy / detection** |
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This maps onto the IACE 3-step measure hierarchy (inherently safe design →
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safeguarding → information) for the FMEA's control/action column.
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## How used in IACE
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- Safety-priority rule overrides pure Cm ranking when the linked ISO 12100 hazard
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is high-severity (the safety-FMEA bridge).
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- The decision table seeds the recommended-action suggestions per failure mode.
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Concepts only — IEC 61508/ISO 13849 (SIL/PL, DC, β-factor tables) are copyrighted
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and NOT reproduced; diagnostic-coverage / common-cause are used as generic ideas.
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